Friday, 29 November 2013

The flow continues...

At wednesday the good flow continues. Like I mentioned I favoured Manchester United to win the game against Leverkusen. Of course I didn't think the english team will win 5:0, but the odd was with 3.50 real too high. Actually is not about betting is more playing the probabilites. Was strange to see ManU only with less 30% chances to win this game...

Beside I was pretty sure that Bayern Munich will not score more than three goals in cold weather without many emotions in Moscow. Okay, in the end was quiet close, they won 3:1. Sometimes you need a bit of luck (or how Lothar Matthäuas say: "I hope we have a little bit lucky").

Yesterday I started my part time job at the new company. So I decided not to make any trades. I saw some opportunities like Lyon or lay the Swiss teams (beside FC Basel there is nothing with international quality in our country), but I don't like so much unattended trades.

Tomorrow I will fly to Mexico for holidays. Perhaps I will trade as well there. How you know you only need a computer (not even... a smartphone is enough) and a internet connection to do it. Let's see. For the moment I layed  Leverkusen... they looked terrible against Manchester United, I can't see them as so clear favourite against Nürnberg. The odd will rise before the kickoff. Beside I am keeping an eye on Barcelona. 1.70 against Bilbao (to be honest, they are quiet strong and Barca is still playing without Messi) is looking quiet attractive. But there is no hurry to enter, the game is at Sunday.

Wednesday, 27 November 2013

Another good day...

Even if not everything went in the wished direction was a good day. I favoured Chelsea and Schalke but both teams couldn't take the three points to their home. The team from London even lost a second time to the suprising FC Basel. I am proud supporter of FC Basel since over 30 years... but with betting is not allowed to have emocions.

Well I tried some pre game trades and they worked quiet good. Like I wrote above I was pretty sure that the odds of Chelsea and Schalke will drop. Beside I layed a scoreless match between Arsenal and Marseille. Unfortunately I fixed too much money for this trade, so the better ones (Chelsea and Schalke) were not that lucrative.

During the game the performances of Schalke and Chelsea were quiet disappointing. So I decided to put some money for the other outcomes. In the end the results were like mentioned not in my favour. Better was the trading at correct score market in the game between Arsenal and Marseille. I expected a score between 1:0 and 3:3, so I layed 0:0 and unquoted. In the end a 3:0 would be the best for me, but I also could live with the endscore of 2:0.

Beside I wanted to make some money with a comeback of Porto. Unfortunately they only score the 1:1 equalizer and ended in a poor draw against Austria Wien. Actually I made a small mistake with trading, but I made my learnings for the future. With some risk (probably too much... I should not do to much freestyle betting) I corrected the bad trade with an under 5.5 bet. Well this time was a good move, but it can also turns bad. Discipline and patience have to improve further.

Tomorrow or let's better say today is again Champions League. Especially at the English teams I see some opportunities. In my opionion the odd of Manchester United (around 3.50) is too high. Okay, van Persie is not playing, neither Vidic... but Leverkusen is not Bayern Munich. Beside Manchster City is on a hot streak, a 0:0 lay around 30 seems good value for me. In this kind of matches you normally don't get odds under 38 to 40.

Well, let's see what wednesday will bring. I feel quiet positive that the two teams of Manchester will not disappoint me.

Tuesday, 26 November 2013

It's starting to make fun...

My mother language is German, but I decided to write in English starting today. Is a good practice for me to keep my English knowledge and beside is easier for most of the blog visitors to understand...

One week ago I had my last day as fulltime employee. I decided to give up my 100% job and work in the future only 50% as a clerical employee. The other time I will invest in trading sportsmarkets. In the last months I developed some strategies. Some of them I had to throw away, but beside there are some really succesfull ones. In general I can say that pre game strategies worked better than inplay betting.

At the moment I am only trading soccer. Is important to focus on the defined strategies and get more and more confident. The next step is to rise the stakes. The results of November were quiet promising. Hope this was just the beginning.

In January I like to start again trading tennis markets with the help of Sultan Tennis Academy. In first try I didn't have enough patience. Unfortunately September, where I tried real hard, was not the best month. Even my mentor, Sultan, had not a very good performance. Right now I know that it was only bad variance.

Like I learned from Sultan I will not set anymore financial targets. With my 50% job I have enough money to finance my expenses. Beside I will make some money from a capital investment after selling my appartment. So everything I make with trading is luxury...

At end of month I will travel to Mexico to make a small break of everything. If I have I quick internet connection (I guess so) I will try to make the one other oder trade. Working at the beach with sun and sea is not the worst in life :-)