Yesterday I wrote that I am quiet confident with my strategies, especially at soccer. The monthly profit&loss statement confirms my feeling. I could almost reach a profit of 1'000 Euros in last four weeks. As a part time trader, I am quiet happy with this result. I think the limit is not reached yet, because there is still potential in rising the stakes and making less mistakes. If I would not make one at Paris's game the profit would be even higher...
NBA is looking promising as well, but the playing hours are not really what I am looking for. Beside the confidence is not as high as at the soccer games. For me is still a bit of roulette. Is really difficult to read the game, the momentum can change from one second to the other. Sometimes a team throws 80% in a quarter and five minutes later 10%... like Alchemist recommended, it makes sense to do some paper trading to get more trust in my strategies.
My last trading field is tennis. There are so much players, you need a lot of knowledge to be successful. Beside you have to watch as much as possible matches during a tournament. If you don't do this, you don't have enough information to find value. Last week Dolgopolov was on fire, but I didn't see him playing. So I never thought about laying Ferrer against him (H2H was 1:7)... It's just an example which shows that is quiet tricky to trade tennis against professional punters.
In summary I think I have to decide if I trade tennis or NBA beside soccer. Especially at tennis is a lot about watching, watching and watching again games. It's too time consuming to focus on tennis and NBA. Sometimes you need a rest. In general I see more potential at tennis. One reason is the higher amount of games. An other reason is s the bigger liquidity. Beside I think is easier to read the tennis players. Last but not least there are the "time factors". First you often bet against a team and the time (if you lay the leader) and beside is the mentioned topic about playing hours. Is really hard to stay awake during the whole night for waiting the right trading opportunity. Perhaps is easier in summer (but there is no NBA), when you have as a benefit a free afternoon for taking a sunbath... :-)
Next weeks I will watch basketball and tennis. I have to be sure which sports is better for me to trade. Like I wrote, I think is almost impossible to do both of them parallel... beside I hope that the results at soccer will stay as strong as in February.
NBA is looking promising as well, but the playing hours are not really what I am looking for. Beside the confidence is not as high as at the soccer games. For me is still a bit of roulette. Is really difficult to read the game, the momentum can change from one second to the other. Sometimes a team throws 80% in a quarter and five minutes later 10%... like Alchemist recommended, it makes sense to do some paper trading to get more trust in my strategies.My last trading field is tennis. There are so much players, you need a lot of knowledge to be successful. Beside you have to watch as much as possible matches during a tournament. If you don't do this, you don't have enough information to find value. Last week Dolgopolov was on fire, but I didn't see him playing. So I never thought about laying Ferrer against him (H2H was 1:7)... It's just an example which shows that is quiet tricky to trade tennis against professional punters.
In summary I think I have to decide if I trade tennis or NBA beside soccer. Especially at tennis is a lot about watching, watching and watching again games. It's too time consuming to focus on tennis and NBA. Sometimes you need a rest. In general I see more potential at tennis. One reason is the higher amount of games. An other reason is s the bigger liquidity. Beside I think is easier to read the tennis players. Last but not least there are the "time factors". First you often bet against a team and the time (if you lay the leader) and beside is the mentioned topic about playing hours. Is really hard to stay awake during the whole night for waiting the right trading opportunity. Perhaps is easier in summer (but there is no NBA), when you have as a benefit a free afternoon for taking a sunbath... :-)
Next weeks I will watch basketball and tennis. I have to be sure which sports is better for me to trade. Like I wrote, I think is almost impossible to do both of them parallel... beside I hope that the results at soccer will stay as strong as in February.
Hey bist du aus Deutschland, Österreich, Schweiz?
ReplyDeleteokay wer lesen kann ist klar im Vorteil. :D
ReplyDeletehast du skype`? Evtl kann man sich unterhalten/austauschen. Mein Skype Name is rl.1987
beste Grüße ich werd dich auch mal auf meinem Blog verlinken...
Ja, ich bin aus der Schweiz :-). Ich habe Deinen Blog ebenfalls integriert. Schaut sehr interessant aus bei Dir. Eine 29:1-Bilanz ist beeindruckend. Ich weiss zwar nicht genau was Du machst (Geheimnisse sollte man auch für sich behalten), aber es scheint ein guter Ansatz zu sein. Wenn Du dies so durchziehen kannst (und evtl. noch höhere Einsätze drin liegen), hat dies Potenzial für professionelles Traden...
ReplyDeleteWell done on your results. Do you find tennis really boring to watch? I find that basketball is much more entertaining apart from the early hours of the morning. Soccer seems to be more predictable then tennis or basketball but the markets barely move unless there is a goal scored or a red card. However, you will never struggle for liquidity on a top class football match.
ReplyDeleteSoccer is far more predictable and that is "my secret". You don't need big swings if you can make right predictions.
DeleteTennis and NBA sometimes seem a kind of roulette for me. Especially basketball... you never know if the team can improve during a game. With experience and player knowlege you can guess quiet good at tennis (body language, faults and winners during games, tournament performances) if there is a chance for a comeback or a suprise.
Yes, I am not so drilled to watch average tennis games during the whole day. But if it's more predictable and profitable to make money than at NBA I prefer tennis. Night sessions at NBA can be quiet frustrating... sometimes you wait the whole night for an opportunity and than the game is wrong at 4 o'clock in the morning. I think the bigger amount of games and the playing hours are another advantage for tennis.
Liquidity is a big advantage of top class football. If the games are predictable and you can trade with big amounts it can be the best sport to bet even without big swings...
hehe schauen wir mal wielange ich konsequent bin :D
ReplyDeletewie gesagt falls du mal quatschen willst meld dich, "deutsche" Trader gibts ja leider nicht mehr soviele, zumindest was das bloggen angeht.
Bei einer solchen Bilanz solltest Du schon "konsequent" bleiben. Weiss zwar nicht ganz genau, was Du darunter verstehst (Synonym für Disziplin?), aber es scheint zu funktionieren. Letztendlich kann man aber wohl erst nach mehreren Monaten beurteilen, ob man das "Ei des Kolumbus" gefunden hat oder es nur Anfangsglück war. Ich musste ja auch einsehen, dass NBA (zumindest meine Strategien nicht) nicht der "Goldesel" ist, wo ich zunächst vermutete. Eigentlich komisch, dass ich am Schluss doch wieder beim Fussball gelandet bin...
DeleteIch erkläre es mir aber so, dass einem die besten Swings nichts nützen, wenn diese kaum vorhersehbar sind. Im Fussball habe ich einfach ein gutes Gefühl, wie es laufen könnte... oder wie ich es oben bereits in Englisch geschrieben habe, Fussi ist einfach vorhersehbarer.
Ja, gibt nicht viele deutschsprachige Trader... es ist halt auch äusserst schwierig langfristig erfolgreich zu sein. Wirklich Kohle machen höchstens 0.5-1.0% aller Trader. Da es vor allem in Deutschland recht restriktiv gehandhabt wird in Sachen Sportwetten ist es nachvollziehbar, dass man im deutschsprachigen Raum nicht viele Trader und schon gar nicht Blogger findet...